At present — anecdotally — email is still very dominant in my business/corporate worlds. IT people tell me that email technology provides for a level of security, controllability, scalability, user features etc. that no other comm tech provides (yet). I see companies adding IM, adding blogs, adding wikis — but not stopping email use, any more than they’re stopping telephone use.

On the personal side — again anecdotal — email does seem to be struggling — in that most people get so friggin’ many of them, that people are overwhelmed. So ironically while there’s more email than ever, email is less and less useful as a comm channel.

Given the proliferation of comm channels and the hard limit of only 24 hrs in anybody’s day — it makes sense that a person would pick the channels that work for them in their specific life/use case. So yay Scoble if he can drop email entirely….most people that I know of, esp people who are working in the corporate environment, can’t do that, for now, anyway.

Ummm…work-and-home blurring, corporate IM, web-surfing-at-work, how many trends can you see from where you are sitting that run counter to your prognostication?

I agree that people used email for things five years ago that are now done via other means… but that doesn’t mean email is dying. It’s just becoming more specialized.